🛡️The Shield Report
Weekly Market Monitor & Risk Analysis
The Bottom Line
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 remain in a Positive Trend.
The Shield Status: 🟢 DOWN (Optimistic / Invested)
📊 Long-Term Trend Review: S&P 500 SPY 0.00%↑
Status: Positive Long-Term Trend ✅
Key Levels: Price > 50SMA (Blue) > 200SMA (Red
📊 Long-Term Trend Review: Nasdaq 100 QQQ 0.00%↑
Status: Positive Long-Term Trend ✅
Key Levels: 50SMA (Blue) >Price > 200SMA (Red)
📊 Momentum Trend Review: S&P 500 SPY 0.00%↑
Status: Positive Momentum Trend ✅
Key Levels: 21EMA (Gray) > 500SMA (Blue)
Analysis: After testing resistance in late November, the index pulled back below the 50-day Moving Average (Red Line). We are now seeing a “Higher Low” form—a classic bullish structure. As long as price stays above $672, and the 21EMA above the 50SMA, the trend is healthy.
📊 Momentum Trend Review: Nasdaq 100 QQQ 0.00%↑
Status: Positive Momentum Trend ✅
Key Levels: 21EMA (Gray) > 500SMA (Blue)
Analysis: Tech showed weakness in November but found support near the October lows ($590). Momentum has reset. We are watching for the rally to continue above the $625 resistance line to confirm the next leg higher.
🧠 Sentiment & Themes
The Fundamental Floor: Earnings Growth
While we trade on price, we respect the fundamentals. S&P 500 earnings have remained resilient and growing throughout the year, defying recession predictions.
Verdict: Constructive. stock prices tend to follow corporate profits. The fact that earnings are expanding validates this rally—it suggests this is not just a speculative bubble, but an uptrend supported by real cash flow.
Sector Spotlight: Semiconductors (SMH)
Semiconductors are currently a “mixed bag,” but the internal rotation is bullish.
The Divergence: While mega-cap giants like Broadcom AVGO 0.00%↑ and Nvidia NVDA 0.00%↑ are still attempting to rally off support, new leadership has emerged in names like Micron MU 0.00%↑ and Lam Research LRCX 0.00%↑ , which are coming off of new highs.
Technical View: The recent pullback in the Semiconductor ETF SMH 0.00%↑ appears to have been a temporary lull rather than a trend change. The group is cycling higher again, and we are watching for the trend to continue into a decisive breakout above $370 resistance to confirm the next leg up.
The M5 Power Rankings December 2025
T5. J.P. Morgan
T5. LOCKED
4. LOCKED
3. LOCKED
2. LOCKED
1. LOCKED
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