Market Insights

Weekly analysis and commentary on macro trends, momentum themes, and what we're watching.

2026-04-01
The Red Line Flips: What History Says About Months Like This
The S&P 500 closed March below its 200-day moving average. Oil is pressing $100. The memory trade is up 60% YTD. Here's the full technical breakdown, what history says about months like this, and where every model pick stands heading into April.
Read more →
2026-03-16
March 2026 Week 2 | 10 Charts for the Week Ahead
10 Charts for the Week AheadThe S&P 500 just posted its first three-week losing streak in a year. It closed Friday at $6632 — less than 1% above the 200-day moving average. That headline sounds ba
Read more →
2026-03-12
Where the AI Money Is Actually Going
Everyone knows the Mag 7 are struggling this year. Fewer people are paying attention to what’s happening one layer deeper — in memory chips, equipment orders, and cloud infrastructure — where the demand signals are as strong as we’ve seen.
Read more →
2026-03-08
Oil Just Broke $90 — What It Means for Stocks, Inflation, and the Fed
WTI crude closed at $90.90 on Friday. That's a 35% surge in one week — one of the sharpest weekly spikes in oil futures history. Brent crude settled at $92.87.This isn't a normal energy trade. Th
Read more →
2026-03-06
March 2026 Week 1 | Crosscurrents, Cracks, and What the Data Says
The S&P 500 has turned negative on the year. Three simultaneous shocks — the Iran conflict, a brutal jobs report, and sticky inflation — have pushed the index below key moving averages. Here's what the data says.
Read more →